NakedPut.AI

THE RESEARCH DESK

Know what you’re
looking at.

See the model-estimated odds before considering a trade. This preview explains probability, return, and reference sizing; it contains no live quotes or performance results.

THE PUT RESEARCH DESKCONCEPT VIEW
Understand the position.See the trade-offs.
Conceptual short-put payoff at expirationLosses increase as the stock falls below breakeven. Profit is capped at the premium when the stock finishes at or above the strike. Not to scale; excludes fees.Premium caps the upsideBreakevenLOWER SHARE PRICEHIGHER SHARE PRICE →
01 / INCOMEPremiumWhat the option pays
02 / COMMITMENTCollateralCash behind the position
03 / EXPOSUREDownsideWhat you stand to lose

Conceptual payoff at expiration · not to scale · excludes fees

READ IN CONTEXT

The odds first.
The decision yours.

Start with your probability target and the research timestamp. Compare the highest-return qualifying candidates, then read total position premium and cash commitment on the $500,000 collateral basis.

Explore the methodology ↗

Risk profile first. Return next.

Suppose your target is a 70% probability of expiring worthless. Use that model-estimated threshold to define which candidates qualify, then compare the highest returns within the profile. This example explains the selection approach; it is not a live result or a suggested risk setting.

A reader’s guide to the board

As of
When the displayed research was built. It is the first thing to check when the market is moving.
Underlying & expiration
The security and option expiration that define the candidate. Different expirations carry different exposure windows.
Strike & stock price
Per-share prices that locate the contract relative to the underlying.
Premium
Total option premium for the sized position on a $500,000 collateral basis. The displayed quote is not a guaranteed execution price.
Collateral & sizing
A $500,000 collateral basis keeps the research comparable. It is a reference amount, not a recommended investment. You set your own position size and capital commitment.
P(OTM) / risk profile
The Black–Scholes model estimate of expiring out of the money and worthless. Your target sets the qualifying profile. This is not the same as probability of net profit.
Return & ranking
Highest-return qualifying candidates first within the selected profile and expiration. Return on Collateral (ROC) is total position premium divided by total collateral for the holding period through expiration. It is not annualized.

Questions about the research? Contact us ↗

YOUR NEXT STEP

See the estimated odds.
Then make your own call.

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