See the odds before entry
Black–Scholes mathematics turns market inputs into an estimated probability of expiring worthless. Start with the odds before deciding whether to take the trade.
See the research formatCASH-SECURED PUT RESEARCH
Understand the odds.
Before your capital
is on the line.
NakedPut.AI does the options math. Using the Black–Scholes model, we estimate the probability that a put will expire worthless—before you put capital at risk. You choose the position size. You make the decision.
Model-estimated probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes.
$150 per month, billed monthly in advance. Cancel any time.
THE PUT RESEARCH DESKCONCEPT VIEW
Understand the position.See the trade-offs.
01 / INCOMEPremiumWhat the option pays
02 / COMMITMENTCollateralCash behind the position
03 / EXPOSUREDownsideWhat you stand to lose
Conceptual payoff at expiration · not to scale · excludes fees
THE MATH BEFORE THE MONEYUS-listed equity optionsCash-secured putsYour size. Your decision.
A MORE COMPLETE PICTURE
Choose your probability.
Then compare the return.
First, understand the model-estimated odds. Then compare the highest-return candidates within your chosen probability profile. Decide whether the potential income and downside fit your own plan.
You choose the size
The $500,000 collateral basis is a common research reference, not a required investment or a recommended allocation. You decide how many contracts to trade and how much capital to commit.
Explore the methodologyYou make the decision
Use the dated board and morning report to inform your judgment. Whether to trade, when to enter or exit, and how to manage the position are entirely your decisions.
Understand the cadenceNOBEL-RECOGNIZED OPTIONS MATHEMATICS
We do the math.
You make the call.
NakedPut.AI applies the Black–Scholes model—the options mathematics associated with the 1997 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences—to estimate the probability that a put expires worthless.
Bring those estimated odds into your decision before you commit capital. The position size, the trade, and the responsibility stay with you.
Understand the math and its limits ↗PURPOSEFULLY FOCUSED
One strategy.
A wider field
of research.
Cash-secured put research organized around your probability target, highest-return qualifying candidates, and a consistent $500,000 collateral basis.
Inside the research process ↗101
Names in the research universeCoverage is subject to usable market data.
5 min
Scheduled board updatesDuring the session; timestamps show freshness.
≤45
Days to expirationSelected weekly and monthly expirations.
BUILD YOUR UNDERSTANDING
A little context.
A better set of questions.
Cash-secured puts, explained
Understand the cash commitment, assignment, and the downside behind the premium.
Read the guideNaked puts vs. cash-secured puts
Similar option exposure. A different approach to funding the obligation.
Read the guideOptions selling strategies
Put selling, covered calls, and spreads: start with the obligations each creates.
Read the guideCLEAR FROM THE START
We calculate.
You decide.
Does NakedPut place trades for me?
No. NakedPut provides research. It does not connect to your brokerage account, route orders, or execute trades.
Is Return on Collateral annualized?
No. Return on Collateral (ROC) is total position premium divided by total collateral for the holding period through expiration. It is not an annualized return.
Do I need to invest $500,000?
No. That amount is the research comparison basis. You choose your actual position size and capital commitment.
What does a 70% probability target mean?
It means a model-estimated 70% probability that the option expires out of the money and worthless. It is not a guaranteed outcome, a 70% return, or the same as probability of net profit. Qualifying candidates are compared by return within that profile.
Are cash-secured puts risk-free?
No. Setting aside cash funds potential assignment, but a decline in the stock can produce a loss far larger than the premium. Read the risk overview.
Can I subscribe today?
Yes. The subscription is $150 per month, billed monthly in advance, and you can cancel any time from your account; see the subscription page.
Where do existing users sign in?
Sign in at app.nakedput.ai.
EXPLORE THE FISCHERQUANT FAMILY
Looking beyond
cash-secured puts?
Explore FischerQuant.com for a broader suite of options research, including call and put analysis, covered calls, and covered puts.
FischerQuant is a separate subscription offering. Review its plans to find the research that fits your approach.
Explore FischerQuant.com ↗YOUR NEXT STEP